Is there an observable advantage to playing with deflated footballs?Дў1. Why are other analyses shown on this site slightly different numbers than what is presented here? PSI and Fumbling AnalysisДў0. What about the post-game measurements? What can we make of them?ДЎ9. What about the 12th Patriot ball, the one measured on the sideline in the first half?ДЎ8. What is a вЂњMasterвЂќ Gauge conversion? Additional ConsiderationsДЎ7. What are transient curves and how do they affect the assessment of whether the balls were tampered with?ДЎ6. What happens if the temperature in the pre-game and during the first half are slightly different than those used in projections?ДЎ5. Why are the Patriot balls expected to be wetter than the Colt balls?ДЎ4.

Why is it more likely that theВ Patriot balls were inflated at halftime before four Colt balls were measured?ДЎ3. Why is it more likely that the Logo Gauge was used in the pre-game?ДЎ2. Why does it not matter whether the Logo or Non-Logo Gauge was used in the pre-game?ДЎ1. Could tampering account for the variability seen in the Patriot halftime measurements? Probability of key factorsДЎ0. Why do the Patriots halftime measurementsВ have greater variabilityВ than the Colt balls?Д©. Why did Exponent conclude that the balls were вЂњstatistically significantвЂќ in the Wells Report?ДЁ. How do the Results change if adjustments are made to the 3rd Colt half-time measurement?Д§. What are the Results? Are the Patriot ball measurements different in aвЂќstatistically significantвЂќ way from the Colts balls?Д¦.

How can we analyze the data given all of the variables involved What methods can we use? Results and data analysisДҐ. What areВ all the variables involved in properly assessing whether the measurements are explained by environmental factors?Д¤. What environmental factors will change the pressure (PSI) of a football?ДЈ. Summary of analysis Methods andВ VariablesДў. Raw data as captured at halftime of the 2015 AFC Championship game as presented in the Wells Report. 3, with the information available exonerating the Patriots.В Unless otherwise stated, all investigatory information on this page was provided by the Wells Report. The most likely conclusion, based on the available data, strongly points toward outcome No.

The Patriots were unlikely to have tampered with the footballs, beyond reasonable doubt.ItвЂ™s unclear whether there was or was not tampering.environmental factors cannot explain the measurements) The Patriots were likely to have tampered with the footballs, beyond reasonable doubt (i.e.WhileВ theВ data was not collected in a controlled scientific experiment, there was enough data collected that we can arrive at one of three general conclusions: The вЂњDeflate GateвЂќ (or Deflategate) scientific analysis wasВ conductedВ to answer a simple question: Were the halftime measurements of the Patriot footballs below what is expected based on environmental factors? (In the NFL, each team prepares and uses its own set of balls used for offensive play, meaning the Colts and Patriots prepared and played with separate balls during the 2015 AFC Championship Game.)В This page serves as a collectionВ of those findings, with many thanks to the readers who contributed. John Leonard in his Sports Illustrated essay on Deflategate. The following analysis has been referenced in multiple places, most notably by Dr.

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